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Biological invasions in forests

Non-native insects, pathogens and plants are reshaping forest composition, undermining ecosystem services, and imposing rising costs on forest owners and entire society. We anchor this thematic area through the Forest Invasion Synthesis Centre, Prague (FISC; https://www.forestinvasion.cz/) – a research hub funded by the EU Horizon Europe programme, and led by Dr. Andrew “Sandy” M. Liebhold.

Research focus

FISC integrates ecology, entomology, forest pathology, economics, data science and the social sciences to address three connected questions:

  • Patterns and drivers — the global and regional patterns of introduction, establishment and spread of non-native plants, insects and pathogens, and the biological, climatic and trade-related factors behind them.
  • Impacts — how invasions alter forest structure, biodiversity and ecosystem functioning, and the economic and societal costs they impose.
  • Prevention, management and mitigation — which strategies (biosecurity, early detection, eradication, biological control, silvicultural adaptation) work best, and how evidence can be translated into operational and policy decisions.

Current research strands include the outbreak dynamics of invasive forest insects, pathways of unintentional introduction and the limits of border interception data, plant–herbivore and plant–pathogen interactions in invasion success, the population and evolutionary genetics of invading species, and interactions between invasions, climate change and other forest disturbances.

A synthesis centre model

FISC applies the synthesis centre model and is, to our knowledge, the first such centre in Central and Eastern Europe dedicated to forest invasions. Rather than generating primary field data alone, FISC brings together existing global datasets, theory and disciplinary expertise to produce novel insights.

Meet the experts

https://www.forestinvasion.cz/core-team/

More information on our team, working groups, outputs and open calls is available at www.forestinvasion.cz.

Forest Disturbance Ecology and Management

Disturbance regimes in European forests are changing rapidly, reshaping forest structure, carbon balance and timber supply. Our research traces the drivers and impacts of these dynamics, with a primary focus on the Central European context – droughts, windthrows, bark beetle outbreaks and rising wildfire risk.

Research focus

We integrate field surveys, remote sensing and process-based simulation models to address three connected areas:

  • Disturbance dynamics and drivers – how climate, forest conditions and management interact to shape forest disturbance susceptibility and resilience.
  • Impacts on forests and ecosystem services – how large-scale mortality alters forest structure, biodiversity, carbon stocks and the provision of timber and other ecosystem services.
  • Recovery and resilience – how disturbed forests regenerate, which biotic and abiotic factors govern recovery trajectories, and how landscape-scale resilience is affected by spatial homogenization of disturbed areas.

We specifically study outbreak dynamics and management of European spruce bark beetle, for a reason: the Czech Republic was one of Europe’s outbreak epicentres and witnessed a large-scale regime change – the transition from wind-driven to drought-driven outbreaks – a development with far-reaching consequences. At the same time, the Faculty of Forestry and Wood Sciences at CZU is one of Europe’s hubs of bark beetle research, spanning management, chemical ecology and genetics, which generates important synergies.

We map disturbance and recovery dynamics across the Czech Republic using remote sensing, supported by extensive field surveys. We operate a network of ca. 1000 repeatedly inventoried forest plots, complemented by high-resolution drone imaging. These data are combined with long-term management records from across the country to disentangle the effects of different disturbance agents and detect changes in disturbance regimes.

Ecosystem Modelling

Process-based models are essential tools for understanding how climate change, disturbances and management shape the long-term forest dynamics. We actively use and contribute to the development of two ecosystem models – the individual-based forest landscape model iLand and the biogeochemical model BiomeBGCMuSo – and apply them across a range of questions in forest ecology and management.

Research focus

We are primarily addressing three connected areas:

  • Climate change impacts on forest dynamics and ecosystem services – how a changing climate and management reshape species composition, productivity, carbon stocks and the provision of timber, biodiversity and other services.
  • Disturbance interactions, resilience and forest transformations – how biotic disturbances (bark beetles, herbivory, invasive organisms) and abiotic drivers interact under a changing climate to drive forest transformations.
  • Management evaluation – how harvesting regimes, salvage and sanitation logging, species mixtures and herbivory regulation affect disturbance dynamics, resilience and ecosystem services.
  • Element cycles and ecophysiology – how carbon, water and nutrient cycles respond to climate change, climatic stress and disturbances.
  • Model development – ongoing calibration, benchmarking and structural improvement of the models.

We operate iLand in three forest landscapes – one in Slovakia and two in the Czech Republic – involving both actively managed forests and a national park. We also run the model at around 100 forest plots across Czechia, spanning different management histories and site conditions, with detailed inventory data on forest structure and biodiversity. BiomeBGCMuSo is operated across a large-scale design of simulation plots stretching from Croatia to northern Poland.

Selected outputs

  • Dobor L. et al. (2024) The interacting effect of climate change and herbivory can trigger large-scale transformations of European temperate forests. Global Change Biology 30, e17194. DOI
  • Das A.K., Baldo M., Dobor L. et al. (2025) The increasing role of drought as an inciting factor of bark beetle outbreaks can cause large-scale transformation of Central European forests. Landscape Ecology 40, 108. DOI
  • Schafstall N., Dobor L., Baldo M., Liebhold A.M., Rammer W., Honkaniemi J., Hlásny T. (2024) Assessing the effect of invasive organisms on forests under information uncertainty: the case of pine wood nematode in continental Europe. Forest Ecosystems 11, 100226. DOI
  • Merganičová K. et al. (2024) The biogeochemical model Biome-BGCMuSo v6.2 provides plausible and accurate simulations of the carbon cycle in central European beech forests. Geoscientific Model Development 17, 7317–7346. DOI
  • Dobor L., Hlásny T., Rammer W., Zimová S., Barka I., Seidl R. (2020) Is salvage logging effectively dampening bark beetle outbreaks and preserving forest carbon stocks? Journal of Applied Ecology 57, 67–76. DOI

Knowledge transfer

To be completed